Tuesday, April 14, 2015

The Post-Washington Consensus, Development Models and the Game of Leverage

The world is made up of two actors; there are the ‘rule-makers’ and there are the ‘rule-takers.’ On one hand, the rule-makers have a high degree of both normative and coercive power at their disposal to illicit the obedience of rule-takers. On the other hand, rule-takers, in the absence of sheer coercive power, rely on a counter-normative strategy to resist the imposition of rules. In every aspect of social and power relations, the dynamics between the rule-makers and the rule-takers are focal. In no other are these dynamics more consistently located than in the area of the global political economy, more specifically in the aspect of development. The rule-makers are the United States and the Washington institutions that are the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. The rule-takers are developing countries like those in Latin America and Asia. The rule being promoted is the Washington Consensus, a set of policy recommendations by Washington institutions that are essentially neoliberal in character. The game is essentially played by leverage. Prior to the heyday of neoliberalism, developing states engaged in inward-looking models for development. In Latin America, industries were nationalized, protectionist tariffs were instituted and capitalization was found internally. In Asia, the state was more pro-private capital and sponsored domestic businesses through large amounts of technological recapitalization and favourable industrial policies. These models were at the opposite spectrum of US interest; it restricted their access to raw markets of the region. The models, nevertheless, led to incredible strides in economic growth and development in the regions. The leverage was clearly with the developing countries. However, the 1982 debt crisis in Latin America and the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, coupled with a post-Washington Consensus emphasizing democracy, delegitimized the national development models of largely authoritarian regimes in both regions. Latin America adjusted to neoliberal policies conditioned by the IMF for its financial assistance, Northeast Asia saw foreign competition challenge the dominance of state-sponsored domestic businesses, and Southeast Asia became heavily reliant on foreign direct investment and export-oriented industrialization. While there are some minor resistance and indigenization of the adjustment, the post-Washington Consensus of a neoliberal economic order remains intact.

Photo from carmillaonline.com
The political economy of development is a game of leverage. At the surface, it appears that leverage only comes with luck. The crises that discredited the national developmental models of Latin America and Asia were exogenous in nature and thus, outside the control and fault of national economies. But a more critical examination reveals the powerful irony of neoliberal policy. The exogenous crises were results of increasing liberalization of trade, finance and production. The liberalization of the oil market eventually led to an energy price hike that choked Latin American countries to debt. In Asia, the opening up of financial markets led to hot money short term investments and eventually bursting to the Asian Financial Crises. Neoliberal policy, it appears, has a natural mechanism of correcting divergent developmental models by naturally inducing exogenous crisis; making it, in effect, a self-fulfilling prophecy. Leverage is not a matter of luck or natural economic consequences; but, in fact, manipulated and rigged towards neoliberal interests. Such is the genius of the Washington Consensus and institutions. It presents the economy as an organic, objective and apolitical arena where neoliberal policies are the only ‘correct’ path to development. Through the infiltration of ideas in popular and policy spaces through agents of media and the educational system of so-called ‘experts,’ neoliberalism is raised to Gramscian hegemony status. The epitome of the sheer cunningness of neoliberal agents is their ability to adapt and change. When the Washington Consensus was discredited by critiques of socioeconomic inequality, proponents re-legitimised it neoliberalism through the Post-Washington Consensus where little concessions were made to poverty reduction and the discourse of market compatibility with democracy was introduced. It was no longer an issue of neoliberalism causing poverty; but authoritarianism as the bane of these societies and only market-friendly policies can ensure the democracy answer. It was a masterful reframing of critiques. Counter-hegemonic agents against neoliberalism must strike back just as creatively if there is any hope in undermining this neoliberal global order.

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